Key AI Developments to Watch This Year
In this post, we highlight the emerging AI-related business and legal developments that we will be closely monitoring over the course of this year and explore issues and opportunities raised by these developments.
The Mind-Boggling Surge in AI-Generated Content
AI-generated content has seen an exponential increase since the release of OpenAI’s ChatGPT 3.5 in November 2022. One study found that approximately 57% of all text on the web has been generated or translated by AI. Nina Schick, a technology pundit, predicts that, by the end of this year, 90% of online content will be AI-generated. The business and legal ramifications of this trend are remarkable:
Potential Decline in Quality of AI Output
As AI-generated content becomes ubiquitous, the quality of such content is a growing concern. A University of Oxford study found that when a generative AI tool is trained solely on generative AI content, the quality of the tool’s output degrades significantly. This phenomenon, termed “model collapse,” occurs after just a few cycles of AI learning from generative AI outputs. The study concludes that sustainable AI development requires a continuous influx of human-generated content. Without this, the risk of amplifying disinformation and errors increases, potentially corrupting previously unbiased training sets. But, if, as noted above, online human-authored content will be increasingly dwarfed by online generative AI content, how will this impact the value of generative AI tools?
Coming Plateau in AI Development?
For all of the stunning advancements in AI over the past two years, there are some warning signs that the pace of AI breakthroughs may be slowing down and perhaps even reaching a plateau. For example, OpenAI’s latest model, Orion, reportedly shows only marginal improvements over its predecessors. One challenge for the industry is the scarcity of high-quality training data; as developers exhaust publicly available text sources, they are increasingly turning to AI-generated training data, which, as discussed above, can negatively impact quality. This has led some industry experts to suggest that new models are not achieving the same gains from scaling as previous iterations.
The Debate Over AGI
Whether and when Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) – that is, AI that matches or exceeds human capabilities across a broad range of cognitive tasks – will be achieved remains a contentious topic.
Although some AI experts contend that advanced large language models (LLMs) have already achieved AGI due to their ability to discuss a wide range of topics and perform diverse tasks, most feel that AGI has yet to arrive. For those researchers who believe AGI is possible, the estimated timeline ranges from as soon as two to five years to as distant as the end of this century. Other AI experts, such as leading scientist Yann LeCun, question whether LLMs will ever achieve AGI, arguing that “[a] system trained on language alone will never approximate human intelligence, even if trained from now until the heat death of the universe.”
Adoption of AI Tools Across Industries
There is a sense that, for all of the promise of AI, many businesses have been slow to embrace it. But that is changing, and corporate AI use is likely to be ubiquitous by the end of 2025. Indeed, we are starting to see this shift already; according to a Bipartisan Policy Center report, the information sector has hit an 18.1% adoption rate while professional, scientific and technical services are at 12%. A McKinsey survey found that 72% of organizations have adopted AI in at least one business function, a notable increase from prior years. With AI becoming increasingly human-like in the coming months, expect adoption rates across industries to skyrocket, perhaps with a corresponding growth in the unemployment rate.
Regulatory Landscape Under the Trump Administration
The regulatory environment for AI in the United States is being overhauled under the Trump administration. Just three days after his inauguration, President Trump revoked the Biden administration’s Executive Order on Safe, Secure, and Trustworthy Development and Use of Artificial Intelligence. Less than three weeks later at the AI Action Summit, Vice President Vance reaffirmed the administration’s hands-off approach to AI regulation, warning global leaders that excessive regulation could cripple the AI industry. Andrew Ferguson, the new head of the Federal Trade Commission, has pledged to scale back the agency’s AI enforcement activities, while the appointment of Silicon Valley’s David Sacks as the White House’s inaugural “AI Czar” suggests a more pro-business approach to the AI industry going forward.
But, as Sir Isaac Newton’s third law of motion provides, “every action has an equal and opposite reaction,” and we are already seeing states – especially blue states – pick up the regulatory mantle. For example, last September, California passed 18 new laws regulating AI, 15 of which took effect at the start of this year. The Colorado AI Act, passed last May and set to become effective on February 1, 2026, requires developers and deployers of “high-risk” AI systems to use “reasonable care to protect consumers from any known or reasonably foreseeable risks of algorithmic discrimination” of such systems. New York legislators have introduced a bill in the Assembly and Senate that would require generative AI providers to “conspicuously display” warnings that inform users that outputs of the generative AI system may be “inaccurate and/or inappropriate.”
Next-Generation AI Legal Issues
The release of generative AI tools sparked a wave of lawsuits raising the issue of whether the unauthorized use of third-party content for machine learning purposes is a fair use; these cases are working their way through the court system and will yield substantive rulings on the merits in the coming months. But, as AI technology continues to improve and becomes more widespread, keep an eye out on these emerging legal issues as well:
Concluding Thoughts
As we look ahead, 2025 is poised to be a pivotal year in the ongoing integration – and disruption – of AI across industries and legal frameworks. The technological leaps of the past two years have brought generative AI tools from the margins into the mainstream, accelerating business adoption, regulatory activity and legal uncertainty. Although there will undoubtedly be many critical issues raised by AI becoming commonplace, the legal, business, societal and technical challenges discussed above will be among those shaping AI development and its impact on businesses and consumers.
The information provided is not intended to be a comprehensive review of all developments in the law and practice, or to cover all aspects of those referred to.
Readers should take legal advice before applying it to specific issues or transactions.
Editorial Disclaimer
Originally published before the Ashurst Perkins Coie combination. See disclaimer.